OʻZBEKISTON SUVEREN KREDIT REYTINGINING ICHKI MAKROIQTISODIY DETERMINANTLARI
Keywords:
suveren kredit reytingi, makroiqtisodiy determinantlar, fiskal siyosat, davlat qarzi, inflyatsiya, iqtisodiy oʻsish, institutsional sifat, governance, panel ekonometrik model, Oʻzbekiston iqtisodiyotiAbstract
Ushbu maqola Oʻzbekiston Respublikasining suveren kredit reytingini shakllantiruvchi ichki makroiqtisodiy omillarni empirik jihatdan baholashga bagʻishlangan. Tadqiqotning asosiy gʻoyasi shundan iboratki, suveren reyting nafaqat tashqi bozor sharoitlari, balki mamlakat ichidagi fiskal, monetar va institutsional barqarorlik darajasi bilan bevosita bogʻliqdir. Maqolada iqtisodiy oʻsish surʼatlari, byudjet defitsiti, davlat qarzi, inflyatsiya, valyuta risklari hamda boshqaruv sifati koʻrsatkichlarining reyting dinamikasiga taʼsiri panel ekonometrik model yordamida tahlil qilinadi. Reyting agentliklari baholari raqamlashtirilib, taqqoslanadigan davlatlar guruhi bilan birgalikda statistik baholash amalga oshiriladi. Tadqiqot natijalari ichki makroiqtisodiy intizom va institutsional sifatning suveren kredit ishonchliligini belgilovchi asosiy determinantlar ekanligini koʻrsatadi.
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